If given the opportunity via 20+ carries, Larry Johnson will rush for 100+ yards and score at least one TD vs the Broncos this week.
Denver gives up the fifth most rushing yards per game (144.2) and the third most yards per carry (4.9) in the NFL. Since week four, Denver has given up an average of 108 yards and 1.4 TD per game to the opposing team's leading rusher.
Week four was the first time the Broncos faced LJ and he had his best game of the year with a 198 yard, two TD effort. In the three games previous to that LJ had averaged 72 rushing yards per game with one TD, and was trending slightly upwards. Heading into this weekend's match up it is a similar scenario. In his previous three games Johnson has averaged 80 rushing yards per game and scored one TD.
For Johnson to be productive it's as simple as him getting 20+ carries. In the three games this season where Johnson has received 20+ carries he has averaged 137 rushing yards per game and scored four TD. In his career in the 29 games he has carried the ball 20+ times Johnson has rushed for 100+ in 25 of them. Herm, just give him the ball.
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